Our Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction looks at a tie at Balaídos shaped by contrasting recent form and several decisive absences. The hosts need points after an irregular run in domestic competition, while Union arrive unbeaten and dangerous on the break. The match draws attention for sports betting predictions because market averages give the slight edge to the home side.
Kick-off: 05/11 at 21:00 · Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction: match context
This is matchday 4 of the league phase in the UEFA Europa League, with both coaches under pressure to deliver. Celta Vigo, coached by Claudio Giráldez, returns to Balaídos needing points after mixed results domestically. Union Saint-Gilloise, led by David Hubert, travel on the back of solid results and an unbeaten run across competitions. The fixture therefore contrasts home necessity with away momentum.
Recent form of both teams
Celta Vigo show a competition sequence of Loss, Loss, Win in their recent league phase matches, and they lost 3-0 at Rayo Vallecano this weekend. That heavy away defeat tempers the optimism from their 2-1 win at Celtic on 22 October. Union Saint-Gilloise display Win, Draw, Win and they beat SK Beveren 2-1 this weekend, so their recent run is unbeaten. Overall the visitors appear more consistent in results.
| Team | Form in the competition | Goals scored (avg.) | Goals conceded (avg.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | L L W | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Union St. Gilloise | W D W | 2.7 | 0.3 |
Averages cover the first three matchdays of the league phase.
Players in form
Javi Rodríguez has scored twice in the 2-1 win at Celtic on 22/10/2026, highlighting his current form. Ferran Jutglà scored versus Deportivo Alavés on 18/10/2026 and remains an attacking option at Balaídos. Guilherme Smith scored twice in the 4-0 win over Hapoel Be’er Sheva on 22/10/2026. Raul Florucz converted a penalty and scored against Hapoel Be’er Sheva, underlining his influence in the league phase.
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction: probable line-ups
Official line-ups only come out about an hour before kick-off, so these elevens are projections. Celta should rely on a regular core, with doubts in defence and attack. Union are likely to stay close to the side that started at Beveren on 31/10, with a back three.
Celta Vigo (formation to be confirmed)
- Goalkeeper: Andrei Radu
- Defence: Yoel Lago, Javi Rodríguez (rest of the back line to be confirmed)
- Midfield: Javi Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Aleix Febas, Javi Galán
- Attack: Hugo Álvarez, Ferran Jutglà (third forward to be confirmed)
Union St. Gilloise (3-4-1-2, as at Beveren)
- Goalkeeper: Hervé Koffi
- Defence: Chibani, Sylla, Nikki Havenaar
- Midfield: Louis Patris, Besfort Zeneli, Kamiel Van De Perre, Carvalho
- Attacking midfield: Mofokeng
- Attack: Raul Florucz, Kevin Rodríguez
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction: what the odds say
For sports betting predictions, market averages give Celta Vigo 2.20 (43% implied), a draw 3.56 (26%), and Union 3.04 (31%). The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.69, while under 2.5 sits at 2.16, so markets favour goals. Both teams to score is 1.56, with no at 2.31, indicating bookmakers expect attacking intent from both sides. The odds therefore slightly favour a home win but also signal an open match.
| Outcome | Average odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo win | 2.20 | 43 % |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26 % |
| Union St. Gilloise win | 3.04 | 31 % |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.69 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | |
| Both teams to score | 1.56 | |
| Both teams not to score | 2.31 |
Average of the odds offered by 10 international bookmakers on 04/11. Odds move until kick-off: always check them with an operator licensed in Belgium.
Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction: absences and doubts
Celta Vigo are expected to be without Borja Iglesias, who has a calf problem, and Carl Starfelt, who has a muscle injury. That costs them their main striker and weakens the centre of defence. At Union, Mateo Biondić and Kevin Mac Allister are both out with knee injuries. This comes from published unavailability lists and must be confirmed before kick-off.
- Borja Iglesias (Celta Vigo): calf
- Carl Starfelt (Celta Vigo): muscle injury
- Mateo Biondić (Union St. Gilloise): knee
- Kevin Mac Allister (Union St. Gilloise): knee
Our prediction
Celta Vigo win · Confidence: low
Market probabilities and home advantage favour the hosts, despite several absences. Union’s form is strong, yet key absences on both sides and home advantage make a home win plausible. The pick remains cautious given the visitors’ recent unbeaten run and scoring threat.
This prediction is an analysis based on the data available the day before the match, not a guarantee. Only stake what you can afford to lose.
Prediction result
| Match | Our prediction | Final score | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo – Union St. Gilloise | Celta Vigo win | 1-2 | ✗ Prediction missed |
Score calculated on all predictions published on LiveSportsBetting.be whose match has finished. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly (21+).
Go further: compare the odds for this match. Next, check our ranking of the best Belgian bookmakers. Finally, follow the game on the best live betting sites.
Gamble responsibly (21+): see the rules of the Belgian Gaming Commission. Official fixtures and info: UEFA Europa League.
Frequently asked questions
When and where is the match scheduled?
Kick-off is set for 21:00 on 05/11 at the Municipal de Balaídos. The game is matchday 4 of the UEFA Europa League league phase and will be played in Vigo.
What do the market odds indicate?
Market averages give Celta Vigo a 43% implied probability, the draw 26% and Union 31%. Odds also favour goals, with over 2.5 priced lower than under 2.5, suggesting attacking play.
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise and how confident are you?
Our main pick is a Celta Vigo win, based on home advantage and market probabilities. Confidence: low, because Union remain unbeaten and have clear attacking threats.
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