Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction opens at Anfield in a Round of 16 tie. Liverpool arrive after a 2-0 win over Brighton this weekend. They also secured a 4-3 comeback against Villarreal on Tuesday last. Chelsea have alternated a 5-1 rout and a 0-2 defeat, and sports betting predictions point to a tight contest.
Kick-off: 28/10 at 21:00 · Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction : match context
This is a straight knockout in the League Cup, with a quarterfinal place at stake. Squad management will matter, given fixtures around the weekend. Rotation could be significant, so managers may balance risk and rest. The tie therefore combines cup urgency and cautious selection ahead of the Premier League fixtures.
Recent form of both teams
Liverpool have won their two most recent home fixtures, beating Villarreal 4-3 on Tuesday last and Brighton 2-0 this weekend. They lost 1-2 away at Brentford earlier, so there is a mixed picture across competitions. Chelsea recorded a big 5-1 win at home against Bournemouth on 10 October and a 2-0 success at Everton on 17 October. However their last match was a 0-2 home defeat to Tottenham, so the visitors arrive on a mixed note.
| Team | Form in the competition | Goals scored (avg.) | Goals conceded (avg.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | W | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Chelsea | W W | 4.0 | 1.5 |
Players in form
Alexander Isak has scored in his two most recent official matches, including the 1-2 loss at Brentford and the 2-0 win over Brighton. Rio Ngumoha contributed a recorded assist and a notable performance in the 4-3 win over Villarreal. For Chelsea, Pedro Neto scored a brace and earned a high rating in the 2-0 win at Everton. Jordan Henderson netted twice in the 5-1 victory over Bournemouth and remains a scoring presence.
Head-to-head
The last five meetings show competitive scorelines between these clubs. The most recent fixture ended 1-1 on 9 May 2026 in the Premier League. Chelsea won 2-1 on 4 October 2025 and 3-1 on 4 May 2025 in league meetings. Liverpool won the League Cup tie at Stamford Bridge on 25 February 2024 by 0-1, showing past cup edge.
- 09/05/2026 : Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 04/10/2025 : Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 04/05/2025 : Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
- 20/10/2024 : Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 25/02/2024 : Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool (League Cup)
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction : what the odds say
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction aligns with market probabilities that give Liverpool a 44% chance, a draw 25% and Chelsea 31%. The average home price implies Liverpool as favourite, while the over 2.5 market is short at 1.45 and under 2.5 is 2.68. The both teams to score market is also tight, with yes at 1.41 and no at 2.75. These numbers suggest an open tie but a slight edge to the hosts.
| Outcome | Average odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool win | 2.14 | 44 % |
| Draw | 3.86 | 25 % |
| Chelsea win | 3.05 | 31 % |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.68 | |
| Both teams to score | 1.41 | |
| Both teams not to score | 2.75 |
Average of the odds offered by 10 international bookmakers on 28/10. Odds move until kick-off: always check them with an operator licensed in Belgium.
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction : absences and doubts
Liverpool will be without Dominik Szoboszlai, a confirmed absence and a very important creative starter, which reduces midfield creativity. Jeremie Frimpong is also unavailable with a muscular problem, weakening the right flank options. Chelsea lose Cole Palmer through suspension and João Pedro to a thigh injury, both listed as very important absentees. Emiliano Martínez is absent while recovering from a jaw fracture, which affects Chelsea at goalkeeper level.
- Dominik Szoboszlai (Liverpool)
- Jeremie Frimpong (Liverpool): injured
- Cole Palmer (Chelsea): suspended
- João Pedro (Chelsea): injured
- Emiliano Martínez (Chelsea): injured
Our prediction
Liverpool win · Confidence level: cautious
Liverpool win (confidence: cautious) is favoured because Liverpool arrive with recent wins and the market gives them a 44% chance, while Chelsea are hampered by key absences. Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction also reflects home momentum and slightly better recent form despite Szoboszlai’s absence. The choice remains cautious given cup rotation and Chelsea’s attacking threats.
This prediction is an analysis based on the data available the day before the match, not a guarantee. Only stake what you can afford to lose.
Prediction result
| Match | Our prediction | Final score | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool – Chelsea | Liverpool win | 1-1 | ✗ Prediction missed |
Score calculated on all predictions published on LiveSportsBetting.be whose match has finished. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Gamble responsibly (21+).
Go further: compare the odds for this match. Next, check our ranking of the best Belgian bookmakers. Finally, follow the game on the best live betting sites.
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Frequently asked questions
When and where is the match played?
Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 at Anfield. The fixture is a Round of 16 tie in the League Cup.
What do the odds indicate ahead of the game?
Average market probabilities give Liverpool 44%, a draw 25% and Chelsea 31%. The over 2.5 and both teams to score markets are short, suggesting goals are expected.
What is the official match prediction from Livesportsbetting?
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: Liverpool win. The confidence level is cautious because Liverpool have home edge and Chelsea suffer key absences, but rotation could influence the outcome.
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